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Cody Bellinger

matchup for Freddy Peralta

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Freddy Peralta

matchup for Cody Bellinger

212th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Strong advantage for Bellinger

Cody Bellinger has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.2% higher than Bellinger's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Peralta.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	20.7%	3.2%	5.4%	12.0%	11.3%	17.4%
Bellinger	+1.2	-2.1	+0.5	+0.2	-2.9	+3.3	+0.3
Peralta	+1.3	+1.5	+0.2	+0.5	+0.8	-0.2	-10.2

Cody Bellinger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Bellinger has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Cody Bellinger has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

53%

Slider (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

7% of Freddy Peralta's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cody Bellinger has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

37% of Freddy Peralta's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Cody Bellinger has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+18%

Medium Ride 28%

+14%

9.4% of Cody Bellinger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.8% +8.7% 5%

Walk -0.8% +1.1% 36%

In Play +9.6% -9.8% 39%

On Base +0.8% -6.5% 31%

Hit +1.6% -7.7% 14%

Single +0.5% -3.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -3.7% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -0.3%

27.5% of Cody Bellinger's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta induces Standard Grounders at a 28.4% rate, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.9% -6.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% -2.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.3% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.8% +7.2% 3%

Pop up +0.7% +5.0%

22.1% of Cody Bellinger's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 22.1% of batted balls allowed by Freddy Peralta are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% +1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -2.2%

13.5% of Cody Bellinger's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Freddy Peralta are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.1% -4.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.8% -2.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.3% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.3% -4.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.3% +2.2% 11%

29 to 38° +2.1% +2.8% 7%

39 to 50° +2.5% +0.9% 8%

Above 50° +3.3% +5.9%

Cody Bellinger has 13 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 13 with a home run and a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	13	6	1	1	4	5	0	0.462
Expected From Contact →			4.81	0.78	1.01	3.03			0.370

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Single
2024-06-30	Single		2%	17%	80%
2024-06-30	Strikeout
2024-06-30	Pop Out			1%	98%
2024-05-28	Strikeout
2024-05-28	Single			82%	17%
2024-05-28	Flyout				99%
2023-07-06	Single			95%	5%
2023-07-06	Home Run	78%	6%		16%
2023-07-06	Double		90%	6%	4%
2022-08-15	Strikeout
2022-08-15	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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