Matchup Machine

Cody Bellinger

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

181st out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Cody Bellinger

45th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Extreme advantage for Bellinger
9

Model Prediction

Cody Bellinger has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.3% higher than Bellinger's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.3%27.9%2.2%5.4%20.3%8.5%13.3%
Bellinger+5.3+5.4-0.6+0.1+5.8-0.2-3.8
Stroman-1.3-1.0-0.5-0.50.0-0.3-4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Cody Bellinger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bellinger has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Cody Bellinger has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.0% of Cody Bellinger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.3% -3.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.8% 35%         In Play +10.4% +3.9% 39%         On Base +0.8% +3.0% 31%         Hit +1.9% +3.8% 14%         Single +0.3% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.8% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -1.1%

History

Cody Bellinger has 2 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-07-09Caught Stealing 2B
2022-07-09Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.