Matchup Machine

Cody Bellinger

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matchup for Martin Perez

288th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Cody Bellinger

70th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Strong advantage for Bellinger
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Model Prediction

Cody Bellinger has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.0% higher than Bellinger's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%24.8%2.8%5.5%16.5%9.3%12.3%
Bellinger+3.0+2.3+0.1+0.2+2.0+0.6-4.9
Perez-0.6-0.5-0.2+0.1-0.4-0.1-6.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Cody Bellinger is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bellinger has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Cody Bellinger has a C grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

9.0% of Cody Bellinger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.3% -6.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.3% 35%         In Play +10.4% +6.4% 39%         On Base +0.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit +1.9% +6.3% 14%         Single +0.3% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.8% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.6%

History

Cody Bellinger has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.010.000.006
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-08Flyout99%
2023-04-08Field Error

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.