Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Bauers

matchup for Reese Olson

74th out of 436 (Best 18%)

Reese Olson

matchup for Jake Bauers

267th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Olson

Jake Bauers has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Reese Olson, which is 1.7% higher than Bauers's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Olson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	17.4%	2.8%	3.7%	10.9%	13.1%	35.9%
Bauers	+1.7	+0.5	-0.4	-0.5	+1.3	+1.3	-0.7
Olson	-0.7	-4.8	+0.6	-1.2	-4.2	+4.2	+12.0

Jake Bauers is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Reese Olson is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Bauers has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Reese Olson throws a Slider 29% of the time. Jake Bauers has an F grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

29%

4-Seam (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

19%

Changeup (R)

19%

Curve (R)

21% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

33% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Drop 30%

+17%

Large Break 33%

+12%

21.8% of Jake Bauers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. Reese Olson strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.0% -0.3% 3%

Walk +2.9% -2.0% 46%

In Play -14.9% +2.3% 39%

On Base -5.1% -0.5% 31%

Hit -8.0% +1.5% 14%

Single -5.3% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -4.9% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -0.5%

28.7% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Reese Olson induces Standard Grounders at a 39.2% rate, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.7% +4.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.8% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +1.4% -1.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% +1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.7% -3.4% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +1.1%

26.2% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.2% -3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.5% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.6% +0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.9% +3.2%

10.9% of Jake Bauers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 6.9% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.4% +2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.4% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.3% +0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +1.2% +0.8% 15%

19 to 28° +4.8% -0.6% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -4.5% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +0.4% -0.2%

Jake Bauers has 2 plate appearances against Reese Olson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-07	Strikeout
2024-06-07	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe