Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Bauers

matchup for David Peterson

148th out of 436 (Best 35%)

David Peterson

matchup for Jake Bauers

127th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Leans in favor of Bauers

Jake Bauers has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 4.3% higher than Bauers's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Peterson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.1%	19.1%	2.8%	4.3%	12.1%	14.0%	30.7%
Bauers	+4.3	+2.2	-0.4	+0.2	+2.4	+2.2	-5.8
Peterson	+0.2	-3.8	+0.5	-0.7	-3.6	+4.0	+8.8

Jake Bauers is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Bauers has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Jake Bauers has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

30%

Sinker (L)

24%

Slider (L)

23%

Changeup (L)

17%

Curve (L)

11% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

26% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Low Ride 34%

+11%

Slow Velo 23%

+10%

21.8% of Jake Bauers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.0% +0.1% 3%

Walk +2.9% +1.3% 46%

In Play -14.9% -1.3% 39%

On Base -5.1% +2.1% 31%

Hit -8.0% +0.8% 14%

Single -5.3% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -4.9% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -1.0%

28.7% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. David Peterson induces Standard Grounders at a 40.7% rate, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.7% +6.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.8% -0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +1.4% -2.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -2.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.7% -3.8% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +1.0%

26.2% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.2% +1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.5% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.6% -4.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.9% +3.6%

10.9% of Jake Bauers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 5.3% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at this angle, which is 6.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.4% +5.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.4% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -2.3% -2.0% 18%

7 to 18° +1.2% +2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +4.8% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -6.2% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% -1.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.4% +1.9%

Jake Bauers has 3 plate appearances against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.08	0.01	0.03	0.04			0.027

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-29	Strikeout
2024-09-29	Forceout			4%	95%
2024-09-29	Flyout		3%		97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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