Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Bauers

matchup for Yonny Chirinos

75th out of 436 (Best 18%)

Yonny Chirinos

matchup for Jake Bauers

93rd out of 567 (Best 17%)

Moderate advantage for Bauers

Jake Bauers has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 3.7% higher than Bauers's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	18.6%	3.5%	4.5%	10.5%	13.9%	28.9%
Bauers	+3.7	+1.6	+0.3	+0.3	+0.9	+2.1	-7.6
Chirinos	-1.7	-5.3	+0.5	-0.7	-5.1	+3.6	+9.4

Jake Bauers is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bauers has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Jake Bauers has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

51%

Slider (R)

25%

Splitter (R)

20%

14% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

40% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 40%

+25%

Low Ride 46%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

21.8% of Jake Bauers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.0% -7.8% 3%

Walk +2.9% -0.6% 46%

In Play -14.9% +8.3% 39%

On Base -5.1% +2.3% 31%

Hit -8.0% +2.9% 14%

Single -5.3% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -4.9% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +0.4%

28.7% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos induces Standard Grounders at a 36.6% rate, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.7% +2.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.8% -1.0% 14%

Low Screamer +1.4% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.7% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +2.3%

26.2% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 25.6% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.2% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% -1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.5% +2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.6% -1.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.9% +1.3%

10.9% of Jake Bauers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.4% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.4% +2.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.3% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.2% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° +4.8% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% -1.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.4% +2.1%

Jake Bauers has 2 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.93	0.47	0.20	0.26			0.466

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-05	Lineout	47%	20%	14%	19%
2023-05-05	Groundout			12%	88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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