Jake Bauers has a 22.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 6.7% lower than Bauers's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Glasnow.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 22.1% | 12.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 46.3% |
Bauers | -6.7 | -4.0 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -2.2 | -2.7 | +9.7 |
Glasnow | -2.4 | -4.1 | +0.3 | -1.0 | -3.5 | +1.7 | +15.5 |
Jake Bauers is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Bauers has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Jake Bauers has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
15% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.
39% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Jake Bauers has a B grade against this type of pitch.
21.8% of Jake Bauers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.4% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
28.7% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow induces Standard Grounders at a 41.3% rate, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
26.3% of Jake Bauers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
10.8% of Jake Bauers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jake Bauers has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.58 | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 0.194 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-07-31 | Home Run | 16% | 40% | 2% | 42% |
2023-07-31 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-07-31 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.