Matchup Machine

      Jake Bauers

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      matchup for Tyler Glasnow

      18th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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      Tyler Glasnow

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      matchup for Jake Bauers

      546th out of 564 (Worst 3%)

      Extreme advantage for Glasnow
      10

      Model Prediction

      Jake Bauers has a 22.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 6.7% lower than Bauers's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Glasnow.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jake Bauers is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Bauers has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Jake Bauers has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      55%
         Curve (R)
      22%
         Slider (R)
      19%

      Contact and Outcomes

      21.8% of Jake Bauers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.4% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.0% +11.2% 3%         Walk +2.9% -0.6% 46%         In Play -14.9% -10.6% 39%         On Base -5.1% -6.7% 31%         Hit -8.0% -6.1% 14%         Single -5.3% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -4.9% -2.7% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.9%

      History

      Jake Bauers has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331100200.333
      Expected From Contact →0.580.160.400.020.194
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-07-31Home Run16%40%2%42%
      2023-07-31Strikeout
      2023-07-31Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.