Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tim Anderson

matchup for Mitch Keller

58th out of 436 (Best 14%)

Mitch Keller

matchup for Tim Anderson

330th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Moderate advantage for Keller

Tim Anderson has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Mitch Keller, which is 0.3% higher than Anderson's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Keller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.3%	25.0%	1.3%	4.2%	19.5%	5.3%	28.9%
Anderson	+0.3	+1.3	-0.1	-0.6	+2.0	-1.1	+1.4
Keller	-1.9	+0.6	-1.4	-1.0	+3.0	-2.5	+3.4

Tim Anderson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Mitch Keller is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Anderson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Mitch Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Tim Anderson has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

34%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

12%

Curve (R)

11%

13% of Mitch Keller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Tim Anderson has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-3%

64% of Mitch Keller's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 10% higher than the MLB average. Tim Anderson has a C- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

Fast Velo 24%

+9%

16.7% of Tim Anderson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Mitch Keller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.5% +1.0% 6%

Walk -4.7% -1.9% 39%

In Play +1.3% +0.8% 39%

On Base -0.1% +0.9% 31%

Hit +4.6% +2.8% 14%

Single +3.4% +1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +3.8% +1.6% 3%

Home Run -2.6% +0.0%

45.2% of Tim Anderson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.8% higher than the league average. Mitch Keller induces Standard Grounders at a 35.2% rate, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +10.8% +0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.9% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner +2.1% +1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.1% -2.5% 3%

Pop up -2.1% 0.0%

18.1% of Tim Anderson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.2% lower than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Mitch Keller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.0% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +2.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.7% -1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.7% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.2% +0.5%

8.9% of Tim Anderson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Mitch Keller are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.6% +1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.4% -2.2% 8%

1 to 6° +2.8% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% +1.7% 15%

19 to 28° -0.9% -0.9% 11%

29 to 38° -2.5% +1.2% 7%

39 to 50° -3.5% -0.2% 8%

Above 50° -4.8% -1.0%

Tim Anderson has 3 plate appearances against Mitch Keller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.62	0.00	0.45	0.17			0.207

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-03-28	Double		44%	7%	48%
2024-03-28	Flyout		1%	9%	89%
2024-03-28	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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