Matchup Machine

Tim Anderson

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

26th out of 436 (Best 7%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Tim Anderson

264th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Anderson
3

Model Prediction

Tim Anderson has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.0% higher than Anderson's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%22.8%1.5%5.3%16.0%7.2%26.6%
Anderson0.0-0.9+0.1+0.6-1.6+0.9-0.9
Anderson-3.7+0.5-1.4+0.1+1.9-4.3+5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Tim Anderson is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Anderson has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Tim Anderson has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.7% of Tim Anderson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.5% -1.9% 6%         Walk -4.7% -1.0% 39%         In Play +1.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit +4.6% +0.9% 14%         Single +3.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.8% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -2.6% -0.2%

History

Tim Anderson has 6 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual662002200.333
Expected From Contact →1.960.000.031.930.326
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-02Single3%53%45%
2024-04-02Single58%42%
2024-04-02Strikeout
2023-05-30Strikeout
2023-05-30Groundout48%52%
2023-05-30Groundout35%65%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.