Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Cronenworth

matchup for Declan Cronin

382nd out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Declan Cronin

matchup for J. Cronenworth

318th out of 564 (Worst 44%)

Strong advantage for Cronenworth

Jake Cronenworth has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 0.8% higher than Cronenworth's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Cronin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.6%	22.5%	2.4%	4.2%	15.9%	13.1%	20.6%
Cronenworth	+0.8	+0.5	-0.7	-0.4	+1.6	+0.3	-1.1
Cronin	+3.2	-0.6	+0.2	-0.3	-0.5	+3.9	-3.2

Jake Cronenworth is better vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Cronenworth has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Jake Cronenworth has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

Sinker (R)

41%

4-Seam (R)

13% of Declan Cronin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jake Cronenworth has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Fringe Miss 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

52% of Declan Cronin's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 40% higher than the MLB average. Jake Cronenworth has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 52%

+40%

Breaking (R) 52%

+22%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

12.8% of Jake Cronenworth's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% -0.3% 3%

Walk +2.7% -0.3% 39%

In Play +0.3% +0.5% 39%

On Base +2.7% +3.8% 31%

Hit +0.1% +4.0% 14%

Single +0.1% +2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +3.1% 3%

Home Run -0.1% -1.7%

31.3% of Jake Cronenworth's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin induces Standard Grounders at a 52.7% rate, which is 18.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +18.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% +1.5% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% -5.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.6% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -1.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -6.5% 3%

Pop up +0.2% -2.2%

22.3% of Jake Cronenworth's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 31.2% of batted balls allowed by Declan Cronin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.1% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph 0.0% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.1% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -8.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.0% +6.9%

11.0% of Jake Cronenworth's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 7.0% of batted balls allowed by Declan Cronin are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.7% +20.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.2% -2.3% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% +0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -0.8% +1.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% -5.9% 11%

29 to 38° -0.5% -4.5% 7%

39 to 50° +1.0% -4.7% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% -4.7%

Jake Cronenworth has 1 plate appearance against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.57	0.00	0.01	0.56			0.573

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-10	Forceout			56%	43%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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