Matchup Machine

Jake Cronenworth

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for J. Cronenworth

471st out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Leans in favor of Cronenworth
2

Model Prediction

Jake Cronenworth has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 4.2% lower than Cronenworth's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%19.3%3.6%4.3%11.4%11.3%25.0%
Cronenworth-4.2-2.7+0.4-0.3-2.8-1.5+3.3
Gaddis+3.2-0.1+0.4-0.1-0.4+3.3-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Cronenworth is better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Cronenworth has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jake Cronenworth has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Jake Cronenworth's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% -0.6% 3%         Walk +2.7% -1.7% 39%         In Play +0.3% +2.4% 39%         On Base +2.7% -5.5% 31%         Hit +0.1% -3.8% 14%         Single +0.1% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years