Matchup Machine

Jake Cronenworth

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matchup for Jared Jones

396th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for J. Cronenworth

299th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Strong advantage for Cronenworth
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Model Prediction

Jake Cronenworth has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.4% higher than Cronenworth's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%21.6%3.7%5.1%12.8%13.7%27.2%
Cronenworth+0.4-0.5+0.6+0.4-1.4+0.9+5.4
Jones+4.2+0.8+0.7+0.00.0+3.5-1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Cronenworth is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cronenworth has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jake Cronenworth has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Jake Cronenworth's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.7% +0.6% 39%         In Play +0.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base +2.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.1% -0.8% 14%         Single +0.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years