Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Cronenworth

matchup for Zack Littell

329th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Zack Littell

matchup for J. Cronenworth

488th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Cronenworth

Jake Cronenworth has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 5.7% lower than Cronenworth's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Littell.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	21.6%	3.3%	4.6%	13.7%	7.7%	21.2%
Cronenworth	-5.7	-0.5	+0.1	0.0	-0.6	-5.1	-0.5
Littell	+1.8	-0.2	+0.4	-0.7	+0.1	+2.0	-2.2

Jake Cronenworth is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Cronenworth has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Jake Cronenworth has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

37%

Splitter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

8% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jake Cronenworth has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

38% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Jake Cronenworth has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 38%

+19%

Just Gravity 26%

+12%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

12.8% of Jake Cronenworth's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.0% -0.6% 3%

Walk +2.7% -3.4% 39%

In Play +0.3% +4.0% 39%

On Base +2.7% -1.9% 31%

Hit +0.1% +1.5% 14%

Single +0.1% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.1% +0.6%

31.3% of Jake Cronenworth's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Zack Littell induces Standard Grounders at a 29.7% rate, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -4.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -0.9% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.6% +1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +2.0% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.2% +2.4%

22.3% of Jake Cronenworth's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 28.2% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.1% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph 0.0% +0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.1% -0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.0% +3.9%

11.0% of Jake Cronenworth's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.7% -3.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.2% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.8% +1.8% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -0.5% +1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +1.0% +0.9% 8%

Above 50° +2.9% +4.5%

Jake Cronenworth has 6 plate appearances against Zack Littell in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.53	0.09	0.20	0.24			0.089

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-17	Groundout			6%	94%
2022-08-31	Sac Fly	9%	17%		74%
2022-07-08	Strikeout
2022-05-22	Flyout		1%		98%
2022-05-22	Groundout			16%	84%
2022-04-11	Groundout		2%	2%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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