Matchup Machine

      Jake Cronenworth

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      matchup for Jose Berrios

      390th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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      Jose Berrios

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      matchup for J. Cronenworth

      230th out of 564 (Best 42%)

      Strong advantage for Cronenworth
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      Model Prediction

      Jake Cronenworth has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 0.3% higher than Cronenworth's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Berrios.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jake Cronenworth is better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Cronenworth has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Jake Cronenworth has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      30%
         Curve (R)
      30%
         4-Seam (R)
      23%
         Changeup (R)
      16%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.8% of Jake Cronenworth's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.0% +0.7% 3%         Walk +2.7% -0.8% 39%         In Play +0.3% +0.1% 39%         On Base +2.7% -0.3% 31%         Hit +0.1% +0.6% 14%         Single +0.1% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +0.2%

      History

      Jake Cronenworth has 6 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with 2 walks

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual641001220.250
      Expected From Contact →1.290.210.630.450.323
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-20Walk
      2024-04-20Single2%44%54%
      2024-04-20Walk
      2023-07-19Strikeout
      2023-07-19Flyout21%61%2%16%
      2023-07-19Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.