Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Worst 28% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Best 41% of matchups for J. Cronenworth

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.5%	4.9%	17.3%	6.4%	9.6%
MLB (+/-)	-0.3	+0.7	+3.4	-3.4	-15.6
Cronenworth	+0.1	-0.2	+1.3	-2.1	-6.1
Gomber	-0.7	+0.6	+1.1	-1.5	-6.8

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	24	24	8	0	3	5	2	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			7.41	0.28	1.80	5.32			.309

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-31	Triple		38%	53%	8%
2023-07-31	Single		2%	71%	27%
2023-07-31	Strikeout
2023-06-09	Single		5%	49%	46%
2023-06-09	Groundout			24%	76%
2023-06-09	Single		2%	39%	59%
2023-04-02	Lineout		58%	3%	39%
2023-04-02	Pop Out				100%
2023-04-02	Groundout			5%	95%
2022-09-25	Pop Out			1%	99%
2022-08-02	Strikeout
2022-07-12	Groundout			7%	93%
2022-07-12	Lineout		3%		96%
2022-07-12	Hit By Pitch
2021-08-01	Double		21%	67%	12%
2021-06-14	Flyout	1%			98%
2021-06-14	Groundout			63%	36%
2021-06-14	Groundout			26%	73%
2021-05-18	Double	26%	40%		33%
2021-05-18	Single			29%	71%
2021-05-18	Field Error
2021-05-12	Flyout		1%	33%	66%
2021-05-12	Groundout		9%	5%	86%
2021-05-12	Single			55%	45%
2020-10-01	Walk

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	47%	37	Fastball	16	45%
	24%	38	Breaking	-26	37%
	11%	30	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
	45%	34	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	57%	29	Slider	-6	20%
	54%	42	Changeup	0	18%
⭐⭐	44%	86	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	57%	21	Away / Glove Side	38	17%
⭐	64%	63	Bottom of zone	13	13%
	69%	25	Top of zone	-3	12%
	62%	13	Middle	45	7%
	74%	49	In / Arm Side	52	5%

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
25%	25	Away / Glove Side	41	34%
42%	34	Below the zone	22	30%
33%	-4	Above the zone	8	24%
60%	-10	In / Arm Side	19	10%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
23%	27	First Pitch	10	28%
62%	47	Batter Behind	0	28%
55%	6	Batter Ahead	4	26%
67%	51	2 Strikes	-23	26%
60%	26	3 Balls	2	8%
69%	10	Full Count	-9	4%

Model Prediction
	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	2.5%	4.9%	17.3%	6.4%	9.6%
MLB (+/-)	-0.3	+0.7	+3.4	-3.4	-15.6
Cronenworth	+0.1	-0.2	+1.3	-2.1	-6.1
Gomber	-0.7	+0.6	+1.1	-1.5	-6.8