Matchup Machine

Andy Ibanez

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matchup for Jared Jones

31st out of 436 (Best 8%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Andy Ibanez

490th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Andy Ibanez has a 25.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.9% lower than Ibanez's typical expectations, and 5.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.9%18.0%2.3%4.4%11.3%7.9%32.2%
Ibanez-2.9-3.20.0-0.5-2.6+0.2+6.5
Jones-5.1-2.8-0.6-0.6-1.6-2.3+3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Andy Ibanez is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ibanez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Andy Ibanez has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Andy Ibanez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% +0.4% 5%         Walk -0.9% +0.6% 39%         In Play +2.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base -2.6% -0.1% 31%         Hit -1.7% -0.8% 14%         Single -0.9% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years