Matchup Machine

      Andy Ibanez

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      matchup for Adrian Morejon

      264th out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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      Adrian Morejon

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      matchup for Andy Ibanez

      199th out of 564 (Best 36%)

      Leans in favor of Ibanez
      0

      Model Prediction

      Andy Ibanez has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 1.8% higher than Ibanez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Morejon.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Andy Ibanez is much better vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ibanez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Andy Ibanez has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      43%
         Slider (L)
      21%
         Sinker (L)
      18%
         Curve (L)
      9%
         Changeup (L)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      13.8% of Andy Ibanez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% +1.9% 5%         Walk -0.9% -0.8% 39%         In Play +2.3% -1.2% 39%         On Base -2.6% -0.4% 31%         Hit -1.7% +0.4% 14%         Single -0.9% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.1%

      History

      Andy Ibanez has 1 plate appearance against Adrian Morejon in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-04Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.