Matchup Machine

Andy Ibanez

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matchup for Seth Lugo

31st out of 436 (Best 8%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Andy Ibanez

403rd out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo
5

Model Prediction

Andy Ibanez has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.5% lower than Ibanez's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.4%20.9%2.3%4.6%14.0%6.5%27.7%
Ibanez-1.5-0.30.0-0.3+0.1-1.2+2.0
Lugo-5.0-3.0-0.8-0.3-1.9-2.0+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Andy Ibanez is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ibanez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Andy Ibanez has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Andy Ibanez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% +0.8% 5%         Walk -0.9% -2.3% 39%         In Play +2.3% +1.4% 39%         On Base -2.6% -0.4% 31%         Hit -1.7% +1.9% 14%         Single -0.9% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years