Matchup Machine

Andy Ibanez

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matchup for Austin Gomber

78th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Andy Ibanez

131st out of 567 (Best 24%)

Leans in favor of Ibanez
2

Model Prediction

Andy Ibanez has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.5% higher than Ibanez's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%24.6%2.7%5.9%15.9%4.8%18.9%
Ibanez+0.5+3.4+0.4+1.0+2.0-2.9-6.8
Gomber-2.4-1.3-0.6-0.70.0-1.0+1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Andy Ibanez is much better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ibanez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Andy Ibanez has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Andy Ibanez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% -3.3% 5%         Walk -0.9% -2.5% 39%         In Play +2.3% +5.9% 39%         On Base -2.6% +0.6% 31%         Hit -1.7% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.9% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.3%

History

Andy Ibanez has 5 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001000.200
Expected From Contact →1.600.000.041.560.320
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-30Flyout3%97%
2023-06-30Groundout2%60%38%
2023-06-30Single2%93%6%
2022-04-11Flyout100%
2022-04-11Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.