Matchup Machine

Andy Ibanez

sometext

matchup for Martin Perez

201st out of 436 (Best 47%)

sometext

Martin Perez

sometext

matchup for Andy Ibanez

27th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Strong advantage for Ibanez
7

Model Prediction

Andy Ibanez has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.8% higher than Ibanez's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%26.1%3.0%5.4%17.8%7.5%17.3%
Ibanez+4.8+5.0+0.6+0.4+3.9-0.2-8.4
Perez-0.9+0.8-0.1+0.0+0.9-1.8-1.1

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Andy Ibanez is much better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ibanez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Andy Ibanez has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Andy Ibanez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% -6.1% 5%         Walk -0.9% -0.3% 39%         In Play +2.3% +6.4% 39%         On Base -2.6% +5.9% 31%         Hit -1.7% +6.3% 14%         Single -0.9% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.6%

History

Andy Ibanez has 8 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual882101100.250
Expected From Contact →3.101.050.931.120.388
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-05Flyout2%10%1%88%
2024-09-05Forceout4%96%
2024-09-05Single6%86%7%
2023-06-27Groundout1%15%83%
2023-06-27Groundout2%97%
2023-06-27Strikeout
2023-05-30Lineout7%73%3%17%
2023-05-30Home Run96%2%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.