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Edmundo Sosa

matchup for Max Fried

181st out of 436 (Best 42%)

Max Fried

matchup for Edmundo Sosa

305th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Fried

Edmundo Sosa has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 1.5% higher than Sosa's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Fried.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.0%	25.6%	1.9%	5.0%	18.6%	5.4%	28.7%
Sosa	+1.5	+1.6	-0.5	-0.4	+2.5	0.0	+2.1
Fried	-1.3	+2.5	-0.2	+0.5	+2.2	-3.8	+2.3

Edmundo Sosa is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sosa has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Edmundo Sosa has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

35%

Curve (L)

23%

Slider (L)

17%

Sinker (L)

13%

Changeup (L)

11%

13% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Edmundo Sosa has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 1%

-4%

23% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Edmundo Sosa hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 23%

+19%

Slow Lob 18%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

Breaking (L) 40%

+11%

15.2% of Edmundo Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% +3.0% 6%

Walk -3.6% -1.8% 39%

In Play +2.6% -1.2% 39%

On Base -3.4% +0.3% 31%

Hit +0.2% +2.0% 14%

Single -0.1% +1.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +1.7% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.4%

39.3% of Edmundo Sosa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.9% higher than the league average. Max Fried induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.9% +11.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.3% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.5% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.1% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.0% -6.5% 3%

Pop up +0.7% -0.7%

22.1% of Edmundo Sosa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 20.8% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.5% +4.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.8% +3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.7% -3.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.4% +0.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -3.5%

8.7% of Edmundo Sosa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% +8.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.9% +2.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% -0.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -3.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.8% -1.3% 7%

39 to 50° -1.2% -2.3% 8%

Above 50° -0.2% -3.9%

Edmundo Sosa has 14 plate appearances against Max Fried in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 12 with a home run, 2 doubles and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	12	4	1	2	1	1	2	0.333
Expected From Contact →			4.04	0.99	1.25	1.80			0.336

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-31	Double		64%	8%	28%
2024-08-31	Home Run	98%	1%
2024-08-31	Walk
2024-08-21	Single		2%	86%	13%
2024-08-21	GIDP		1%	12%	87%
2024-07-05	Hit By Pitch
2024-07-05	Lineout		2%	21%	78%
2024-07-05	Flyout				99%
2023-09-12	Groundout			17%	83%
2023-09-12	Strikeout
2022-10-11	Double		55%	33%	12%
2022-10-11	Walk
2022-07-06	Flyout				100%
2022-07-06	Groundout			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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