Matchup Machine

Edmundo Sosa

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matchup for Martin Perez

219th out of 436 (Best 51%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Edmundo Sosa

46th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Strong advantage for Sosa
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Model Prediction

Edmundo Sosa has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.9% higher than Sosa's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.3%27.6%3.1%6.0%18.5%5.7%18.2%
Sosa+3.9+3.6+0.6+0.6+2.4+0.3-8.5
Perez-1.3+2.3+0.0+0.7+1.6-3.6-0.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Edmundo Sosa is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sosa has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Edmundo Sosa has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Edmundo Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% -6.1% 6%         Walk -3.6% -0.3% 39%         In Play +2.6% +6.4% 39%         On Base -3.4% +5.9% 31%         Hit +0.2% +6.3% 14%         Single -0.1% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.6%

History

Edmundo Sosa has 5 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552011100.400
Expected From Contact →1.800.001.340.460.360
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-19Lineout55%9%37%
2024-07-19Groundout6%94%
2023-04-02Single12%88%
2023-04-02Double80%19%
2023-04-02Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.