Matchup Machine

Jorge Soler

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matchup for Naoyuki Uwasawa

407th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Naoyuki Uwasawa

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matchup for Jorge Soler

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Soler
9

Model Prediction

Jorge Soler has a 35.9% chance of reaching base vs Naoyuki Uwasawa, which is 3.0% higher than Soler's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Uwasawa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.9%22.1%3.6%6.3%12.1%13.9%23.1%
Soler+3.0+2.3+0.3+1.8+0.3+0.7-4.6
Uwasawa+3.4-0.5+0.9+0.6-2.0+3.9+0.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Soler is worse vs right-handed pitching. Naoyuki Uwasawa is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Naoyuki Uwasawa throws a Splitter 53% of the time. Jorge Soler hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Splitter (R)
53%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Cutter (R)
13%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Jorge Soler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Naoyuki Uwasawa strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% -3.3% 2%         Walk +4.3% +6.2% 42%         In Play -5.4% -2.9% 39%         On Base +2.6% -10.0% 31%         Hit -1.8% -16.2% 14%         Single -2.3% -6.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -6.4% 3%         Home Run +2.3% -3.0%

History

Jorge Soler has 1 plate appearance against Naoyuki Uwasawa in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.002
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-02Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.