Matchup Machine

Jorge Soler

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matchup for Chase Silseth

339th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Chase Silseth

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matchup for Jorge Soler

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Soler
4

Model Prediction

Jorge Soler has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 1.8% higher than Soler's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Silseth.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%18.0%3.7%3.6%10.7%16.7%32.9%
Soler+1.8-1.7+0.4-0.9-1.2+3.5+5.2
Silseth+2.5-2.6+1.0-0.4-3.2+5.1+4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Soler is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Soler has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jorge Soler has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Jorge Soler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% +5.2% 2%         Walk +4.3% +4.8% 42%         In Play -5.4% -10.0% 39%         On Base +2.6% -0.6% 31%         Hit -1.8% -5.4% 14%         Single -2.3% -3.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -2.8% 3%         Home Run +2.3% +0.5%

History

Jorge Soler has 1 plate appearance against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111100001.000
Expected From Contact →0.850.780.070.000.848
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-27Home Run78%7%15%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.