Matchup Machine

      Jorge Soler

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      matchup for Kutter Crawford

      354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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      Kutter Crawford

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      matchup for Jorge Soler

      419th out of 564 (Worst 26%)

      Leans in favor of Soler
      1

      Model Prediction

      Jorge Soler has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 3.8% lower than Soler's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Crawford.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jorge Soler is worse vs right-handed pitching. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Soler has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Jorge Soler has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      37%
         Cutter (R)
      31%
         Slider (R)
      14%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      6%
         Splitter (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      15.1% of Jorge Soler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.9% +0.9% 3%         Walk +4.3% -0.8% 42%         In Play -5.2% -0.1% 39%         On Base +2.4% -4.5% 31%         Hit -1.9% -3.6% 14%         Single -2.3% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.9% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.3% +1.7%

      History

      Jorge Soler has 3 plate appearances against Kutter Crawford in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual330000000.000
      Expected From Contact →1.130.000.890.240.376
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-01Lineout15%10%75%
      2024-05-01Lineout73%13%14%
      2024-05-01Pop Out99%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.