Jorge Soler has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 1.4% higher than Soler's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Quintana.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.3% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 25.4% |
Soler | +1.4 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.0 | +0.9 | +1.5 | -2.2 |
Quintana | +2.1 | -2.4 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -1.9 | +4.5 | +4.3 |
Jorge Soler is better vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Soler has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Jorge Soler has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
15.2% of Jorge Soler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jorge Soler has 3 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.71 | 0.243 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-04-22 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-04-22 | Single | 4% | 96% | ||
2024-04-22 | Single | 2% | 67% | 31% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.