Matchup Machine

Jorge Soler

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matchup for Jose Quintana

271st out of 436 (Worst 38%)

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Jose Quintana

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matchup for Jorge Soler

317th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Soler
3

Model Prediction

Jorge Soler has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 1.4% higher than Soler's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Quintana.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%19.6%2.2%4.5%12.8%14.7%25.4%
Soler+1.4-0.2-1.10.0+0.9+1.5-2.2
Quintana+2.1-2.4+0.1-0.6-1.9+4.5+4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Soler is better vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Soler has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Jorge Soler has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
31%
   Curve (L)
28%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Jorge Soler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% +0.4% 2%         Walk +4.3% -1.1% 42%         In Play -5.4% +0.7% 39%         On Base +2.6% +1.3% 31%         Hit -1.8% +2.5% 14%         Single -2.3% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +2.3% -0.8%

History

Jorge Soler has 3 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332002100.667
Expected From Contact →0.730.000.020.710.243
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-22Strikeout
2024-04-22Single4%96%
2024-04-22Single2%67%31%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.