Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Reese McGuire

matchup for Jared Jones

69th out of 436 (Best 17%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Reese McGuire

442nd out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Reese McGuire has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.4% lower than McGuire's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	19.8%	1.9%	4.9%	13.0%	8.1%	31.1%
McGuire	-1.4	-2.7	-0.1	-0.2	-2.3	+1.2	+6.5
Jones	-3.1	-1.0	-1.1	-0.1	+0.2	-2.1	+2.5

Reese McGuire is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McGuire has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Reese McGuire has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Reese McGuire has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Reese McGuire has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

15.1% of Reese McGuire's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.8% +0.4% 5%

Walk -1.5% +0.6% 39%

In Play +0.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base +2.1% -0.1% 31%

Hit +3.6% -0.8% 14%

Single +2.3% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +2.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.9%

38.7% of Reese McGuire's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.2% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.3% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +4.1% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +3.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.8% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.8% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +2.5%

15.8% of Reese McGuire's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.5% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.5% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +5.1% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.5% +0.4%

7.2% of Reese McGuire's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%