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Reese McGuire

matchup for Logan Gillaspie

120th out of 436 (Best 28%)

Logan Gillaspie

matchup for Reese McGuire

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of McGuire

Reese McGuire has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 1.1% higher than McGuire's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Gillaspie.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	26.0%	1.9%	4.9%	19.2%	4.5%	18.9%
McGuire	+1.1	+3.5	-0.1	-0.2	+3.8	-2.4	-5.7
Gillaspie	-1.1	+0.7	-0.7	-0.6	+2.0	-1.8	-0.5

Reese McGuire is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McGuire has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Reese McGuire has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Slider (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

14% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Reese McGuire has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

32% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Reese McGuire has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

High Ride 21%

+11%

15.1% of Reese McGuire's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.8% -9.1% 5%

Walk -1.5% -5.0% 39%

In Play +0.6% +14.2% 39%

On Base +2.1% +11.5% 31%

Hit +3.6% +16.6% 14%

Single +2.3% +8.6% 13%

2B / 3B +2.4% +7.8% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.2%

38.7% of Reese McGuire's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.2% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.3% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +4.1% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +3.7% +3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.8% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.8% -2.5% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% +4.7% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -1.7%

15.8% of Reese McGuire's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.5% lower than the league average. 31.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.5% -3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +5.1% -4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -5.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +5.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.5% +7.3%

7.2% of Reese McGuire's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.6% +0.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.8% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° +0.1% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° +5.2% +0.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.4% +6.4% 11%

29 to 38° -4.2% -0.1% 7%

39 to 50° -3.5% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° -0.7% -2.7%

Reese McGuire has 2 plate appearances against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.23	0.01	0.01	0.21			0.116

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-01	Groundout			21%	78%
2022-09-26	Flyout				98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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