Matchup Machine

Reese McGuire

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matchup for David Peterson

95th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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David Peterson

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matchup for Reese McGuire

256th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Leans in favor of Peterson
1

Model Prediction

Reese McGuire has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 1.6% higher than McGuire's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Peterson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%24.1%1.6%4.7%17.7%6.9%23.0%
McGuire+1.6+1.6-0.4-0.4+2.4+0.0-1.6
Peterson-1.9+1.2-0.6-0.2+2.0-3.1+1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Reese McGuire is worse vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. McGuire doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Reese McGuire has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
30%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.1% of Reese McGuire's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.8% +0.1% 5%         Walk -1.5% +1.3% 39%         In Play +0.6% -1.3% 39%         On Base +2.1% +2.1% 31%         Hit +3.6% +0.8% 14%         Single +2.3% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.4% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -1.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years