Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Reese McGuire

matchup for J. Loaisiga

244th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Jonathan Loaisiga

matchup for Reese McGuire

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of McGuire

Reese McGuire has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Jonathan Loaisiga, which is 1.9% higher than McGuire's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Loaisiga.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	25.7%	1.5%	4.4%	19.8%	5.6%	18.3%
McGuire	+1.9	+3.2	-0.6	-0.7	+4.5	-1.3	-6.3
Loaisiga	+0.2	+1.4	-0.6	+0.0	+1.9	-1.2	-2.6

Reese McGuire is better vs right-handed pitching. Jonathan Loaisiga is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. McGuire has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jonathan Loaisiga throws a Sinker 39% of the time. Reese McGuire has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

39%

4-Seam (R)

22%

Curve (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

15%

9% of Jonathan Loaisiga's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Reese McGuire has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

50% of Jonathan Loaisiga's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Reese McGuire has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 50%

+26%

Extreme Break 38%

+24%

Extreme Fast Velo 24%

+22%

15.1% of Reese McGuire's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Jonathan Loaisiga strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.8% +0.7% 5%

Walk -1.5% -0.3% 39%

In Play +0.6% -0.4% 39%

On Base +2.1% -4.1% 31%

Hit +3.6% -3.8% 14%

Single +2.3% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +2.4% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.2% -2.5%

38.7% of Reese McGuire's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Jonathan Loaisiga induces Standard Grounders at a 52.1% rate, which is 17.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.2% +17.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.3% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer +4.1% +2.8% 9%

Rising Liner +3.7% -4.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.8% -3.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.8% -1.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% -8.2% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +0.2%

15.8% of Reese McGuire's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.5% lower than the league average. 17.7% of batted balls allowed by Jonathan Loaisiga are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.5% +10.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +5.1% +6.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -3.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -7.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.5% -6.6%

7.2% of Reese McGuire's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% lower than the league average. 5.7% of batted balls allowed by Jonathan Loaisiga are hit at this angle, which is 5.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.6% +13.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.8% +1.6% 8%

1 to 6° +0.1% +0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +5.2% -2.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.4% -3.8% 11%

29 to 38° -4.2% -5.8% 7%

39 to 50° -3.5% -1.3% 8%

Above 50° -0.7% -1.8%

Reese McGuire has 3 plate appearances against Jonathan Loaisiga in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			1.37	0.00	0.01	1.37			0.458

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-23	Groundout			25%	75%
2022-09-14	Single			62%	38%
2022-05-22	Single			50%	50%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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