Matchup Machine

Adam Frazier

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

110th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Adam Frazier

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Wantz
2

Model Prediction

Adam Frazier has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.1% higher than Frazier's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%19.8%2.3%4.5%13.1%9.8%22.6%
Frazier-0.1-2.6+0.4-0.5-2.4+2.5+0.4
Wantz-2.2-0.5-1.0+0.1+0.4-1.7-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Adam Frazier is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Frazier has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Adam Frazier has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Adam Frazier's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +7.5% 5%         Walk -1.0% +2.0% 38%         In Play +4.4% -9.5% 39%         On Base +1.1% -6.5% 31%         Hit +2.0% -8.5% 14%         Single +1.5% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.3%

History

Adam Frazier has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.570.000.000.560.567
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-07Flyout56%43%
2022-06-24Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.