Matchup Machine

Adam Frazier

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Adam Frazier

364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Schmidt
3

Model Prediction

Adam Frazier has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.7% higher than Frazier's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%19.5%1.7%3.9%13.9%10.9%23.0%
Frazier+0.7-2.9-0.2-1.1-1.6+3.5+0.8
Schmidt-1.6-0.1-0.7-0.2+0.8-1.5-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Adam Frazier is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Frazier has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Adam Frazier has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Adam Frazier's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +0.3% 5%         Walk -1.0% +1.6% 38%         In Play +4.4% -1.9% 39%         On Base +1.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit +2.0% -2.0% 14%         Single +1.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.4% 0.0%

History

Adam Frazier has 11 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 10 with a home run, 2 doubles and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11105122210.500
Expected From Contact →3.430.182.041.210.343
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-09Single10%90%
2024-10-09Strikeout
2023-07-29Double1%89%2%8%
2023-07-29Groundout32%67%
2023-07-04Home Run16%27%1%56%
2023-07-04Strikeout
2023-05-25Lineout2%27%71%
2023-05-25Groundout6%94%
2023-05-25Double86%11%3%
2023-04-07Single32%67%
2023-04-07Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.