Matchup Machine

      Adam Frazier

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      matchup for Jalen Beeks

      79th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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      Jalen Beeks

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      matchup for Adam Frazier

      172nd out of 564 (Best 31%)

      Leans in favor of Frazier
      1

      Model Prediction

      Adam Frazier has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 1.4% higher than Frazier's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Beeks.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Adam Frazier is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Frazier has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Adam Frazier has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      47%
         Changeup (L)
      34%
         Cutter (L)
      11%
         Curve (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.7% of Adam Frazier's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -2.5% 5%         Walk -1.2% -0.1% 38%         In Play +4.4% +2.6% 39%         On Base +1.3% +0.4% 31%         Hit +2.4% +0.5% 14%         Single +1.7% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.3%

      History

      Adam Frazier has 3 plate appearances against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331010000.333
      Expected From Contact →1.100.000.450.650.367
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-05-10Double45%41%14%
      2022-05-06Groundout18%82%
      2022-04-28Forceout6%94%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.