matchup for Reese Olson
matchup for M. Conforto
2
Michael Conforto has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Reese Olson, which is 0.6% lower than Conforto's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Olson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.9% | 21.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 23.8% |
| Conforto | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.6 | +1.0 | -0.3 | -2.5 |
| Olson | +0.7 | -0.9 | +0.7 | -0.5 | -1.1 | +1.6 | -0.1 |
Michael Conforto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Reese Olson is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Conforto has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Reese Olson throws a Slider 29% of the time. Michael Conforto has an A grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
29%
4-Seam (R)
27%
Sinker (R)
19%
Changeup (R)
19%
Curve (R)
6%
21% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+2%
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Edge Painter
16%
-2%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Meatball
4%
-2%
33% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fast Velo
33%
+17%
Medium Drop
30%
+17%
Large Break
33%
+12%
14.8% of Michael Conforto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Reese Olson strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.3%
-0.3%
4%
Walk
+0.5%
-2.0%
40%
In Play
-0.8%
+2.3%
39%
On Base
+0.6%
-0.5%
31%
Hit
+0.2%
+1.5%
14%
Single
-1.5%
+0.9%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.4%
+1.1%
3%
Home Run
+3.1%
-0.5%
31.4% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Reese Olson induces Standard Grounders at a 39.2% rate, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.0%
+4.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.4%
-0.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.5%
-1.8%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
+1.8%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
-2.0%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.1%
-0.5%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
+0.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.7%
-3.4%
3%
Pop up
-0.1%
+1.1%
28.3% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
-3.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.2%
+0.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.4%
-0.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.4%
+0.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.0%
+3.2%
12.8% of Michael Conforto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 6.9% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.5%
+2.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.3%
+3.0%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.0%
+0.4%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.1%
+0.8%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.4%
-0.6%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.4%
-4.5%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.8%
-1.5%
8%
Above 50°
+1.9%
-0.2%
Michael Conforto has 2 plate appearances against Reese Olson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.219 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2025-03-29 | Walk | ||||
| 2025-03-29 | Double | 11% | 11% | 78% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
