matchup for Dean Kremer
matchup for M. Conforto
5
Michael Conforto has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 0.1% higher than Conforto's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Kremer.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.5% | 20.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 25.2% |
| Conforto | +0.1 | -1.0 | +0.8 | -0.9 | -0.9 | +1.1 | -1.1 |
| Kremer | +2.4 | +0.1 | +1.6 | -0.3 | -1.2 | +2.3 | +0.1 |
Michael Conforto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Conforto has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Michael Conforto has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
38%
Cutter (R)
25%
Curve (R)
12%
Sinker (R)
11%
Changeup (R)
9%
12% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Meatball
7%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
74% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has an A grade against this type of pitch from right handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fastball (R)
74%
+20%
14.8% of Michael Conforto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.3%
-0.3%
4%
Walk
+0.5%
+0.8%
40%
In Play
-0.8%
-0.4%
39%
On Base
+0.6%
+1.3%
31%
Hit
+0.2%
+0.6%
14%
Single
-1.5%
-0.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.4%
+0.1%
3%
Home Run
+3.1%
+0.8%
31.4% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.0%
-3.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.4%
-1.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.5%
-0.9%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
-0.8%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
-1.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.1%
+2.0%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
+0.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.7%
+2.0%
3%
Pop up
-0.1%
+1.8%
28.3% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
+0.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.2%
+0.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.4%
+0.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.4%
-1.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.0%
0.0%
12.8% of Michael Conforto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.5%
+0.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.3%
-3.1%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.0%
-1.0%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.1%
-2.3%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.4%
+1.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.4%
-1.9%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.8%
+2.6%
8%
Above 50°
+1.9%
+4.0%
Michael Conforto has 3 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 3 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.76 | 0.93 | 0.13 | 0.70 | 0.586 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-18 | Single | 7% | 55% | 38% | |
| 2024-09-18 | Single | 14% | 86% | ||
| 2024-09-18 | Home Run | 93% | 6% | 1% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
