matchup for Felix Bautista
matchup for M. Conforto
3
Michael Conforto has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 0.3% higher than Conforto's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Bautista.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.1% | 15.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 37.3% |
| Conforto | -0.3 | -6.0 | +0.0 | -2.8 | -3.2 | +5.7 | +11.0 |
| Bautista | +1.7 | -0.8 | +1.1 | -0.5 | -1.4 | +2.5 | +3.4 |
Michael Conforto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Conforto has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 64% of the time. Michael Conforto has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
64%
Splitter (R)
25%
Slider (R)
9%
10% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
10%
+5%
Chaser
9%
+3%
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-1%
Meatball
2%
-5%
Weak Challenge
3%
-5%
53% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 50% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Fast Velo
53%
+50%
Medium Break
67%
+48%
Extreme Ride
47%
+43%
Offspeed (R)
25%
+14%
Fastball (R)
66%
+12%
15.0% of Michael Conforto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 24.4% of the batters he faces, which is 15.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.7%
+15.9%
4%
Walk
+0.7%
+3.9%
40%
In Play
-1.4%
-19.7%
39%
On Base
+0.4%
-8.7%
31%
Hit
-0.3%
-12.6%
14%
Single
-1.8%
-5.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.7%
-5.3%
3%
Home Run
+3.1%
-1.5%
31.4% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.0%
+0.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.4%
-2.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.6%
+0.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
-3.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.6%
+2.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.1%
-0.5%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.8%
-0.4%
3%
Pop up
-0.1%
+5.2%
28.2% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. 16.8% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
+2.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.2%
+5.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.4%
-1.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.3%
+1.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.9%
-7.5%
12.9% of Michael Conforto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.4%
-4.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.4%
-1.3%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.0%
-2.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.2%
-2.5%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.5%
+2.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.4%
-0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.8%
+0.7%
8%
Above 50°
+1.8%
+8.3%
Michael Conforto has 1 plate appearance against Felix Bautista in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-02 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
