Matchup Machine

      Michael Conforto

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      matchup for Yonny Chirinos

      381st out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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      Yonny Chirinos

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      matchup for M. Conforto

      81st out of 564 (Best 15%)

      Extreme advantage for Conforto
      9

      Model Prediction

      Michael Conforto has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 4.4% higher than Conforto's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Michael Conforto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Conforto has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Michael Conforto has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      51%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Splitter (R)
      20%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.8% of Michael Conforto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% -7.8% 4%         Walk +0.5% -0.6% 40%         In Play -0.8% +8.3% 39%         On Base +0.6% +2.3% 31%         Hit +0.2% +2.9% 14%         Single -1.5% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +3.1% +0.4%

      History

      Michael Conforto has 2 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221001100.500
      Expected From Contact →0.060.000.010.050.028
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-08-19Strikeout
      2023-08-19Single1%5%94%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.