Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Conforto

matchup for Tyler Glasnow

315th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Tyler Glasnow

matchup for M. Conforto

541st out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Strong advantage for Glasnow

Michael Conforto has a 24.9% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 7.2% lower than Conforto's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Glasnow.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.9%	17.9%	3.6%	3.9%	10.4%	7.0%	34.0%
Conforto	-7.2	-3.4	-0.1	-0.7	-2.7	-3.8	+6.8
Glasnow	+0.1	+0.1	+1.5	-0.4	-1.0	0.0	+2.7

Michael Conforto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Conforto has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Michael Conforto has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Curve (R)

22%

Slider (R)

18%

15% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

39% of Tyler Glasnow's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Minimal Break 39%

+29%

Very Fast Velo 31%

+23%

Extreme Drop 23%

+18%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

14.8% of Michael Conforto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 11.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.3% +11.0% 4%

Walk +0.5% -0.8% 40%

In Play -0.8% -10.2% 39%

On Base +0.6% -6.6% 31%

Hit +0.2% -5.8% 14%

Single -1.5% -2.3% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -2.6% 3%

Home Run +3.1% -1.0%

31.4% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.0% +7.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.4% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.1% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.7% -2.0% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +0.9%

28.3% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.4% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.2% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.4% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% +0.5%

12.8% of Michael Conforto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Glasnow are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.5% +7.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.3% +1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +2.0% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% -5.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.4% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +1.4% +0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -0.8% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +0.4%

Michael Conforto has 10 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	10	8	3	0	1	2	4	2	0.375
Expected From Contact →			1.97	0.05	0.54	1.38			0.246

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-24	Strikeout
2024-07-24	Strikeout
2024-06-29	Walk
2024-06-29	Double	5%	11%		84%
2024-04-03	Strikeout
2024-04-03	Single		16%	73%	10%
2024-04-03	Strikeout
2023-08-14	Walk
2023-08-14	Single		26%	54%	19%
2023-08-14	Groundout			11%	89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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