matchup for Patrick Corbin
matchup for M. Conforto
6
Michael Conforto has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Corbin, which is 1.5% higher than Conforto's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Corbin.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.9% | 24.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 22.0% |
| Conforto | +1.5 | +2.3 | -0.8 | +0.9 | +2.2 | -0.8 | -4.3 |
| Corbin | +0.9 | -1.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | -1.6 | +2.4 | +0.4 |
Michael Conforto is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Patrick Corbin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Conforto has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Patrick Corbin throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Michael Conforto has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (L)
38%
Slider (L)
34%
4-Seam (L)
16%
Changeup (L)
5%
Cutter (L)
5%
23% of Patrick Corbin's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
23%
+3%
Weak Challenge
10%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Mid Challenge
11%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Non-Competitive
9%
-3%
45% of Patrick Corbin's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Michael Conforto has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Low Ride
45%
+21%
Minimal Break
23%
+13%
Medium Fast Velo
27%
+11%
15.0% of Michael Conforto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Patrick Corbin strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.7%
+2.1%
4%
Walk
+0.7%
-2.4%
40%
In Play
-1.4%
+0.3%
39%
On Base
+0.4%
-0.8%
31%
Hit
-0.3%
+1.7%
14%
Single
-1.8%
+1.2%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.7%
+1.1%
3%
Home Run
+3.1%
-0.7%
31.4% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. Patrick Corbin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.9% rate, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-3.0%
+2.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.4%
+2.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.6%
-1.8%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
+2.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.6%
-0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.1%
-0.1%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.8%
-3.8%
3%
Pop up
-0.1%
-0.8%
28.2% of Michael Conforto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. 29.9% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Corbin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
-2.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.2%
+1.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.4%
-3.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.3%
-1.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.9%
+5.6%
12.9% of Michael Conforto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Corbin are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.4%
+1.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.4%
+0.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.0%
+3.3%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.2%
+1.1%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.5%
-2.2%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.4%
-1.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.8%
-2.3%
8%
Above 50°
+1.8%
-1.3%
Michael Conforto has 6 plate appearances against Patrick Corbin in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.400 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.44 | 0.327 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-05 | Walk | ||||
| 2024-08-05 | GIDP | 46% | 54% | ||
| 2024-08-05 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-04-10 | Groundout | 6% | 94% | ||
| 2024-04-10 | Single | 14% | 86% | ||
| 2024-04-10 | Single | 19% | 78% | 3% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
