Matchup Machine

Michael Conforto

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

306th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for M. Conforto

137th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Conforto
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Model Prediction

Michael Conforto has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.5% higher than Conforto's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.6%20.9%3.4%4.6%13.0%14.6%23.1%
Conforto+3.5-0.4-0.30.0-0.1+3.9-4.1
Anderson+1.8-1.3+0.5-0.6-1.2+3.2+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Conforto is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Conforto has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Michael Conforto has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Michael Conforto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% -1.9% 4%         Walk +0.5% -1.0% 40%         In Play -0.8% +2.9% 39%         On Base +0.6% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.2% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +3.1% -0.2%

History

Michael Conforto has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321001010.500
Expected From Contact →0.940.000.010.930.468
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-14Flyout100%
2024-06-14Walk
2024-06-14Single93%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.