Matchup Machine

Cavan Biggio

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matchup for Bryce Miller

32nd out of 436 (Best 8%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Cavan Biggio

493rd out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Extreme advantage for Miller
9

Model Prediction

Cavan Biggio has a 26.3% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 3.1% lower than Biggio's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.3%15.9%1.7%3.1%11.1%10.4%38.3%
Biggio-3.1-2.0-0.3-1.0-0.8-1.1+8.1
Miller-2.9-4.5-0.6-1.2-2.6+1.6+8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Cavan Biggio is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Biggio has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Cavan Biggio has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Cavan Biggio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.4% +0.2% 2%         Walk +4.3% -2.5% 43%         In Play -8.8% +2.3% 39%         On Base +1.2% -3.2% 31%         Hit -3.1% -0.7% 14%         Single -1.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.5%

History

Cavan Biggio has 2 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →1.060.000.420.630.528
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-21Single42%54%4%
2023-07-21Forceout9%90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.