Matchup Machine

Cavan Biggio

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

87th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Cavan Biggio

98th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Leans in favor of Biggio
2

Model Prediction

Cavan Biggio has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 3.5% higher than Biggio's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%19.7%2.4%4.4%12.8%13.2%24.7%
Biggio+3.5+1.7+0.5+0.3+0.9+1.7-5.6
Fulmer-0.5-4.1-0.7-1.1-2.3+3.6+3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Cavan Biggio is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Biggio has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Cavan Biggio has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Cavan Biggio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.4% -2.6% 2%         Walk +4.3% +2.5% 43%         In Play -8.8% +0.1% 39%         On Base +1.2% +3.9% 31%         Hit -3.1% +1.4% 14%         Single -1.2% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.1%

History

Cavan Biggio has 1 plate appearance against Carson Fulmer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-22Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.