Matchup Machine

Cavan Biggio

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

37th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Cavan Biggio

37th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Moderate advantage for Biggio
5

Model Prediction

Cavan Biggio has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.3% higher than Biggio's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.8%23.5%2.4%4.6%16.5%11.3%22.6%
Biggio+5.3+5.5+0.4+0.5+4.6-0.2-7.7
Stroman-2.9-5.4-0.3-1.2-3.8+2.6+4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Cavan Biggio is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Biggio has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Cavan Biggio has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Cavan Biggio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.4% -3.1% 2%         Walk +4.3% -0.8% 43%         In Play -8.8% +3.9% 39%         On Base +1.2% +3.0% 31%         Hit -3.1% +3.8% 14%         Single -1.2% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -1.1%

History

Cavan Biggio has 4 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441010100.250
Expected From Contact →1.180.000.740.440.296
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-17Strikeout
2024-04-17Groundout5%95%
2024-04-05Double74%20%7%
2024-04-05Groundout19%80%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.