Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Pete Alonso

matchup for Will Warren

261st out of 436 (Worst 40%)

Will Warren

matchup for Pete Alonso

288th out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Moderate advantage for Alonso

Pete Alonso has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 1.8% higher than Alonso's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.8%	18.6%	3.4%	5.2%	10.0%	16.2%	32.7%
Alonso	+1.8	-1.5	-0.1	+0.2	-1.6	+3.4	+4.0
Warren	+1.2	-3.3	+0.7	-0.2	-3.8	+4.6	+6.5

Pete Alonso is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Alonso has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Pete Alonso has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Pete Alonso has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Pete Alonso has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

17.2% of Pete Alonso's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% +3.0% 2%

Walk +5.1% +1.4% 43%

In Play -9.4% -4.3% 39%

On Base +1.8% -0.5% 31%

Hit -3.3% -1.8% 14%

Single -3.1% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.5% +1.6%

29.7% of Pete Alonso's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.7% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.7% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +3.1% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter +2.7% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.6% +7.7% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -2.8%

34.0% of Pete Alonso's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% higher than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.7% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.7% +2.1%

13.8% of Pete Alonso's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%