Matchup Machine

Pete Alonso

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

186th out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Pete Alonso

540th out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Pete Alonso has a 26.0% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 7.0% lower than Alonso's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.0%18.0%3.5%4.4%10.1%8.0%41.3%
Alonso-7.0-2.2-0.1-0.5-1.6-4.8+12.5
Crochet-1.4-2.9+1.1-0.6-3.4+1.5+6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Pete Alonso is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Alonso has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Pete Alonso has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Pete Alonso's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +9.4% 2%         Walk +5.1% -1.3% 43%         In Play -9.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base +1.8% -3.9% 31%         Hit -3.3% -2.5% 14%         Single -3.1% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.1%

History

Pete Alonso has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-01Strikeout
2024-09-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.