Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Pete Alonso

matchup for Dustin May

275th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

Dustin May

matchup for Pete Alonso

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Alonso

Pete Alonso has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Dustin May, which is 0.4% higher than Alonso's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing May.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	22.4%	3.2%	4.8%	14.4%	10.1%	28.2%
Alonso	-0.4	+2.3	-0.3	-0.1	+2.7	-2.8	-0.6
May	+0.5	-1.7	+0.8	+0.5	-2.9	+2.1	+4.9

Pete Alonso is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dustin May is right handed .

Dustin May throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Pete Alonso has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

42%

Cutter (R)

23%

Curve (R)

17%

4-Seam (R)

15%

12% of Dustin May's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Pete Alonso has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

43% of Dustin May's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Pete Alonso has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 43%

+28%

Fastball (R) 79%

+26%

Extreme Fast Velo 22%

+19%

Just Gravity 32%

+18%

17.2% of Pete Alonso's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Dustin May strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% +7.8% 2%

Walk +5.1% -3.5% 43%

In Play -9.4% -4.2% 39%

On Base +1.8% -4.8% 31%

Hit -3.3% -1.2% 14%

Single -3.1% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.5% -2.0%

29.7% of Pete Alonso's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Dustin May induces Standard Grounders at a 43.1% rate, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.7% +8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -0.7% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -2.4% 3%

Likely Homer +3.1% -2.3% 1%

No Doubter +2.7% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.6% -1.4% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -0.7%

34.0% of Pete Alonso's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.7% higher than the league average. 20.9% of batted balls allowed by Dustin May are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.3% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% +0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.1% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.7% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.7% -3.4%

13.8% of Pete Alonso's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 9.3% of batted balls allowed by Dustin May are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.9% +8.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.3% +3.1% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.3% -1.8% 15%

19 to 28° -2.6% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° +2.4% -2.1% 7%

39 to 50° +3.6% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° +1.6% -2.3%

Pete Alonso has 3 plate appearances against Dustin May in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			1.68	0.00	0.29	1.39			0.559

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-17	Groundout			16%	84%
2023-04-17	Single		3%	87%	10%
2023-04-17	Single		26%	36%	38%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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