Matchup Machine

Pete Alonso

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matchup for G. Cleavinger

205th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Garrett Cleavinger

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matchup for Pete Alonso

383rd out of 567 (Worst 33%)

Leans in favor of Alonso
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Model Prediction

Pete Alonso has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 0.4% higher than Alonso's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Cleavinger.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%18.6%3.8%4.0%10.9%13.9%33.7%
Alonso-0.4-1.5+0.2-0.9-0.8+1.1+4.9
Cleavinger-0.3-2.9+1.3-0.4-3.8+2.6+8.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Pete Alonso is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alonso has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Pete Alonso has an A grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
41%
   4-Seam (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Sinker (L)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Pete Alonso's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +4.2% 2%         Walk +5.1% +3.9% 43%         In Play -9.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base +1.8% +3.2% 31%         Hit -3.3% -0.7% 14%         Single -3.1% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years