Matchup Machine

Pete Alonso

Worst 2% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 4% of matchups for Pete Alonso

Extreme advantage for Alonso

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	6.5%	4.1%	12.2%	9.8%	16.6%
MLB (+/-)	+3.7	-0.2	-1.7	+0.0	-8.6
Alonso	+1.4	+0.2	+1.9	-1.4	-11.0
Gomber	+3.3	-0.3	-4.0	+1.9	+0.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

6.5%

4.1%

12.2%

9.8%

16.6%

MLB (+/-)

+3.7

-0.2

-1.7

+0.0

-8.6

Alonso

+1.4

+0.2

+1.9

-1.4

-11.0

Gomber

+3.3

-0.3

-4.0

+1.9

+0.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	8	2	0	1	1	0	0	.250
Expected From Contact →			2.91	0.39	1.37	1.15			.364

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-28	Double		59%	14%	27%
2023-05-28	Groundout		2%	20%	78%
2023-05-06	Single		54%	34%	12%
2023-05-06	Groundout		2%	5%	93%
2023-05-06	Flyout	39%	3%		58%
2022-05-22	Groundout		13%	12%	75%
2022-05-22	GIDP		3%	21%	76%
2022-05-22	Groundout		1%	8%	91%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	47%	81	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

47%

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	46%	107	Fastball	16	45%
	25%	21	Breaking	-26	37%
	13%	37	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	45%	86	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	48%	4	Slider	-6	20%
	52%	49	Changeup	0	18%
⭐⭐	54%	84	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

46%

107

Fastball

45%

25%

Breaking

-26

37%

13%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

45%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

48%

Slider

-6

20%

52%

Changeup

18%

⭐⭐

54%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	64%	92	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	72%	102	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐⭐	64%	102	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
	62%	38	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	68%	31	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

64%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

72%

102

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐⭐

64%

102

Away / Arm Side

11%

62%

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

68%

Middle

-23

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
44%	48	Below the zone	22	30%
31%	34	In / Glove Side	30	24%
25%	33	Above the zone	8	24%
37%	18	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

44%

Below the zone

30%

31%

In / Glove Side

24%

25%

Above the zone

24%

37%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	27%	7	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐	53%	79	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐	48%	76	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	63%	86	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐⭐	59%	89	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐⭐	73%	104	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

27%

First Pitch

28%

⭐

53%

Batter Behind

28%

⭐

48%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

63%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐⭐

59%

3 Balls

⭐⭐

73%

104

Full Count

-9