Matchup Machine

Anthony Santander

Worst 6% of matchups for Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

Best 13% of matchups for A. Santander

Extreme advantage for Santander

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.6%	4.9%	11.1%	12.5%	22.8%
MLB (+/-)	+1.8	+0.7	-2.8	+2.8	-2.4
Santander	+1.0	+0.4	-1.4	+2.3	-0.2
Brown	+1.1	+0.6	-1.6	+1.7	-3.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.6%

4.9%

11.1%

12.5%

22.8%

MLB (+/-)

+1.8

+0.7

-2.8

+2.8

-2.4

Santander

+1.0

+0.4

-1.4

+2.3

-0.2

Brown

+1.1

+0.6

-1.6

+1.7

-3.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	0	1	1	2	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			1.48	0.15	0.48	0.85			.247

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Single		2%	40%	58%
2023-09-19	Double		36%	43%	21%
2023-08-10	Flyout	15%	10%	1%	73%
2023-08-10	Strikeout
2023-08-10	Pop Out				99%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	49	LHB vs RHP	58	49%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

LHB vs RHP

49%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	27%	31	Breaking	56	50%
	48%	32	Fastball	74	46%	⭐
	15%	102	Offspeed	64	4%
			------------------
	45%	62	Four-Seam FB	53	46%
	61%	43	Knuckle-Curve	104	25%	⭐⭐
	62%	19	Slider	25	24%
⭐⭐	58%	105	Splitter	15	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

27%

Breaking

50%

48%

Fastball

46%

⭐

15%

102

Offspeed

------------------

45%

Four-Seam FB

46%

61%

Knuckle-Curve

104

25%

⭐⭐

62%

Slider

24%

⭐⭐

58%

105

Splitter

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
72%	42	Top of zone	74	13%
64%	11	Bottom of zone	54	12%
65%	46	Away / Arm Side	47	11%
78%	28	In / Glove Side	62	10%
72%	28	Middle	58	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

72%

Top of zone

13%

64%

Bottom of zone

12%

65%

Away / Arm Side

11%

78%

In / Glove Side

10%

72%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	51%	112	Below the zone	86	32%
	34%	9	Above the zone	45	27%
⭐	36%	99	Away / Arm Side	42	24%
	50%	-72	In / Glove Side	83	23%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

51%

112

Below the zone

32%

34%

Above the zone

27%

⭐

36%

Away / Arm Side

24%

50%

-72

In / Glove Side

23%

⭐⭐

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
66%	98	2 Strikes	61	31%
52%	-9	Batter Ahead	51	29%
56%	58	Batter Behind	74	28%
35%	22	First Pitch	75	24%	⭐
69%	14	3 Balls	50	10%
79%	48	Full Count	50	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

66%

2 Strikes

31%

52%

-9

Batter Ahead

29%

56%

Batter Behind

28%

35%

First Pitch

24%

⭐

69%

3 Balls

10%

79%

Full Count