Matchup Machine

Anthony Santander

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matchup for George Kirby

372nd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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George Kirby

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matchup for A. Santander

406th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Santander
3

Model Prediction

Anthony Santander has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 3.5% lower than Santander's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Kirby.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%21.5%3.8%4.6%13.1%8.0%18.4%
Santander-3.5-0.2-0.20.0+0.1-3.3-3.8
Kirby+1.3-1.2+1.1-0.6-1.7+2.5-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Santander is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Santander has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Anthony Santander has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Anthony Santander's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% +0.5% 4%         Walk +1.3% -5.1% 39%         In Play +1.9% +4.6% 39%         On Base -2.5% -3.9% 31%         Hit -3.9% +1.2% 14%         Single -3.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.6% -0.1%

History

Anthony Santander has 15 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 15 with 2 home runs and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual15156204200.400
Expected From Contact →5.281.071.073.140.352
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-02Single3%71%26%
2024-07-02Single14%85%
2024-07-02Groundout9%6%85%
2023-08-12Flyout99%
2023-08-12Strikeout
2023-08-12Groundout3%97%
2023-06-25Home Run74%18%6%1%
2023-06-25Strikeout
2023-06-25Flyout3%2%94%
2022-06-27Lineout8%85%7%
2022-06-27Groundout99%
2022-06-27Home Run29%44%3%23%
2022-05-31Lineout15%3%81%
2022-05-31Single5%74%21%
2022-05-31Single1%46%53%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.